Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.044350 4.326913 4.634085 4.995620 5.413265 5.885390 6.466625
2025-05-25 3.570417 3.932127 4.348239 4.871093 5.524045 6.332881 7.446970
2025-06-01 3.267048 3.678575 4.173466 4.829813 5.707548 6.893258 8.729778
2025-06-08 3.038211 3.481676 4.034520 4.802050 5.893257 7.495147 10.305402
2025-06-15 2.879839 3.351790 3.959445 4.839787 6.168651 8.297286 12.619119
2025-06-22 2.695109 3.168967 3.792356 4.722342 6.187777 8.696882 14.467167
2025-06-29 2.516666 2.979465 3.597241 4.537700 6.065668 8.815155 15.816849
2025-07-06 2.387436 2.846079 3.467458 4.433452 6.054770 9.137478 18.022705
2025-07-13 2.354360 2.839542 3.513698 4.600800 6.535973 10.628311 26.258782
2025-07-20 2.300100 2.798909 3.505679 4.679008 6.872214 11.975966 38.949903
2025-07-27 2.286937 2.814304 3.580407 4.901703 7.542945 14.646363 95.267864
2025-08-03 2.253440 2.797471 3.603496 5.037419 8.072884 17.448600 1358.904216
2025-08-10 2.177290 2.720800 3.538185 5.027767 8.330854 19.887407 NaN
2025-08-17 2.071594 2.595469 3.388026 4.846457 8.143198 20.335960 NaN
2025-08-24 1.995687 2.511276 3.299126 4.772993 8.217437 22.332707 NaN
2025-08-31 1.931211 2.441048 3.228196 4.726424 8.355773 25.144450 NaN
2025-09-07 1.884956 2.396018 3.195425 4.751157 8.703862 30.643344 NaN
2025-09-14 1.817139 2.314587 3.096457 4.630735 8.600890 32.422845 NaN
2025-09-21 1.743415 2.221226 2.972663 4.448685 8.276532 31.469554 NaN
2025-09-28 1.687830 2.154036 2.890116 4.345899 8.179508 33.089935 NaN
2025-10-05 1.679127 2.159212 2.930838 4.505593 8.965645 52.361967 NaN
2025-10-12 1.657062 2.142150 2.931680 4.579877 9.513207 83.866993 NaN
2025-10-19 1.655743 2.157786 2.990865 4.793109 10.709504 488.198601 NaN